Periodical

Conflict Trends Issue 1 2015

‘Egypt in the Aftermath of the Arab Spring: What Lies Ahead?’ highlights some of the main security, economic and foreign policy challenges facing the Al-Sisi government. ‘The Democratic Transition in Tunisia: A Success Story in the Making’, portrays Tunisia’s transition to democracy as the success story in the Arab, African and Muslim world. Overall, the transition has been peaceful and the various political parties, civil society, media, trade unions and associations have demonstrated a level of political consciousness and tolerance unrivalled in the MENA region. In ‘The 2011 Libyan Crisis: Would the African Solution have been Preferred?’ Libya is referred to as a failed state by many commentators. Whether right or wrong, it is evident that Libyan society has deteriorated to a point where it has become a case of concern. ‘Algeria and Morocco and the Popular Uprising in North Africa: Will the Exceptions Last?’ examines why Algeria and Morocco did not experience social upheavals in 2011 and thereafter, in spite of the fact that their respective societies have enough grievances against their respective political and economic systems to prompt some revolt. ‘Western Sahara Since the Arab Spring: Any Hope for Change?’ delves into the impact of the Arab Spring revolutions on the 40-year-old Western Sahara conflict and argues that although these protests were described as being precursors to the Arab Spring protests, they were actually the most prominent recent rallies against Morocco’s annexation of many that have occurred since 1975. In ‘Four Years After the Fall of Gaddafi: The Role of the International Community in Stabilising a Fractured Libya,’ in the aftermath of Gaddafi’s capture and murder in October 2011, some critics asked whether it would not have been better for him to be captured, rather than killed. There is now the realisation that the manner of Gaddafi’s departure does have far-reaching implications for long-term peace and stability in Libya. The periodical then has a fact file on ‘The Arab Spring in Numbers.’