This report explores Zimbabwe’s prospects to 2040 under three scenarios. The Current Path presents Zimbabwe’s development trajectory given a continuation of current policies and practices, while two alternative scenarios, Great Zimbabwe and Things Fall Apart, help frame the uncertainty around the country’s future. Great Zimbabwe is an ambitious but reasonable scenario that shows the kind of development Zimbabwe may experience if pro-growth policies are implemented. In Things Fall Apart, insecurity and low-level conflict spread and human development outcomes decline dramatically.
