Briefing Paper

Morocco’s 2014-2020 Industrial Strategy and its Potential Implications for the Structural Transformation Process

More than ever now, Morocco is threatened by the trap of middle-income economies. Caught between increased competition from low-income countries in low productivity and labor-intensive sectors on the other hand, the difficulty of accelerating its pace of structural transformation towards activities with higher value added and higher technological content. International experience shows that few countries have managed to climb to the status of an advanced economy. The structural transformation process may be, in fact, impeded by several factors relating to market failures, a technological gap, a lack of know-how and human capital, inadequate institutional quality, etc. Overcoming these handicaps is often associated with the need to conduct an effective industrial policy, which should encourage private investment and orient it towards the most dynamic and complex sectors. This policy brief’s purpose is not in fact to assess Morocco’s new industrial policy and the feasibility of its stated objectives in terms of added value and job creation, but rather to judge the appropriateness of the choice of sectors targeted by this strategy, by highlighting the positioning of these sectors in the Product Space as well as with regard to the current cognitive and productive capacity of Morocco. The policy brief’s aim is thus to briefly analyze the sectorial targeting strategy of the 2014 – 2020 Accelerated Industrial Plan, by highlighting the positioning of these new industrial ecosystems in the Product Space, and by comparing Morocco’s current cognitive and productive capacity.